desde 1987

The Black Swan

R$73,75

LIVRO
  • Autor: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
  • Editora: Penguin
  • Tradução: ESCRITO EM INGLES
  • Qtd. Páginas: 366
  • Isbn: 9781400063512
  • Código Estoque: 300784A
  • Estado de Conservação: CONDICAO GERAL: BOM, CONSERVA-SE EM BOAS CONDICOES PARA O MANUSEIO DA LEITURA EM RELACAO AO ANO DE PUBLICACAO. .CAPA/CONTRA CAPA: PRESERVADAS. .FOLHAS DE ROSTO: COM ALGUNS RISCOS. COM PEQUENAS MANCHAS DE OXIDACAO. .PAGINAS: LEVEMENTE AMARELADAS PELA ACAO DO TEMPO. NADA QUE ATRAPALHE A LEITURA.
  • 1 em estoque

    Peso 750 g
    Dimensões 16 × 24 × 3 cm
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    The Black Swan is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand. The other books in the series are Fooled by Randomness, Antifragile, and The Bed of Procrustes.

    A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.

    Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don’t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the “impossible.”

    For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don’t know, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, “On Robustness and Fragility,” which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

    Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tel

    SKU: 374041Categorias: Literatura Estrangeira, LivrosLoja: Loja Centro
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